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LTU Lituania - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–0Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde59%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
59% / 22% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Șansă dublă1X81.3%1.23
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Egal22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Gazde share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Oaspeți share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris câștig 59%,Egal 22%,FC Hegelmann câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste