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LTU Литва - А Лига · Final ·

Кауно Жалгирис vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен22%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Кауно ЖалгирисFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 22% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Двоен шанс1X81.3%1.23
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapКауно Жалгирис winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кауно Жалгирис win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Равен22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кауно Жалгирис2.34

Домакин share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Гост share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Кауно Жалгирис

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
Кауно ЖалгирисFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кауно Жалгирис signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Кауно Жалгирис vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кауно Жалгирис печеливш 59%,Равен 22%,FC Hegelmann печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над