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LTU Литва - А Лига · Мач ·

Банга Гаргздай vs Судува Мариямполе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен30%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Банга ГаргздайСудува Мариямполе
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под76% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 30% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Судува Мариямполе win (28.6%)Двоен шанс1X71.4%1.40
Над 24% · Под 76%Goals 2.5Под76%1.32
Да 32% · Не 68%И двата отбора да отбележатНе68%1.47
1.67 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapБанга Гаргздай winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Банга Гаргздай win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Равен30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Судува Мариямполе win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Банга Гаргздай0.94

Домакин share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 24% · Под 76%

Судува Мариямполе0.73

Гост share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Не 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Банга Гаргздай

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Судува Мариямполе

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.94
Expected goals
0.73
Банга ГаргздайСудува Мариямполе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Банга Гаргздай signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Судува Мариямполе signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Банга Гаргздай vs Судува Мариямполе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Банга Гаргздай печеливш 41%,Равен 30%,Судува Мариямполе печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Над 2.5 24% · Current selection Под