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LTU Lituanie - A Lyga · Match ·

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 30% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Suduva Marijampole win (28.6%)Double chance1X71.4%1.40
Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%Goals 2.5Moins de76%1.32
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.67 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapBanga Gargzdai winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Nul30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Suduva Marijampole win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai0.94

Domicile share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%

Suduva Marijampole0.73

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
13
0.94
Expected goals
0.73
Banga GargzdaiSuduva Marijampole
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai victoire 41%,Nul 30%,Suduva Marijampole victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Plus de 2.5 24% · Current selection Moins de