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ARG 阿根廷大都會區丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs 貝基薩

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
34%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn貝基薩
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.585% for the selected side
雙方進球81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 34% / 27%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 貝基薩 win (26.8%)雙重機會1X73.2%1.37
大 15% · 小 85%Goals 2.585%1.18
是 19% · 否 81%雙方進球81%1.23
1.31 total expected goals正確比分1–0
7.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn winDifference+1.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win40%2.502.3538.6%+1.4 pp
34%2.942.7533%+1.0 pp
貝基薩 win27%3.703.2028.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

主隊 share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 15% · 85%

貝基薩0.35

客隊 share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 19% · 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

貝基薩

1.40pts / match
5Wins1Drawn4Losses0積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn貝基薩
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02貝基薩 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs 貝基薩 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 40%, 34%,貝基薩 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · 大2.5 15% · Current selection