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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort37%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under85% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 37% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (18%)Dubbelchans1X82%1.22
Över 15% · Under 85%Goals 2.5Under85%1.18
Ja 19% · Nej 81%Båda lagen gör målNej81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–0
7.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win45%2.22
Oavgjort37%2.70
JJ Urquiza win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Hemma share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 15% · Under 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Borta share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 19% · Nej 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 37%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–0 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 37%,JJ Urquiza vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Över 2.5 15% · Current selection Under