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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Berazategui vs Centro Espanol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–1BerazateguiCentro Espanol
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 32% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Centro Espanol win (28.8%)Dubbelchans1X71.2%1.40
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBerazategui winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Berazategui win40%2.502.3538.1%+1.9 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Centro Espanol win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berazategui1.53

Hemma share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Centro Espanol0.74

Borta share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Berazategui

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Centro Espanol

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.53
Expected goals
0.74
BerazateguiCentro Espanol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berazategui signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Centro Espanol signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Berazategui vs Centro Espanol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berazategui vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 32%,Centro Espanol vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under