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ARG 阿根廷大都會區丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

貝拉薩特吉 vs 西班牙中央

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
32%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score2–1貝拉薩特吉西班牙中央
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 32% / 29%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 西班牙中央 win (28.8%)雙重機會1X71.2%1.40
大 40% · 小 60%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.27 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gap貝拉薩特吉 winDifference+1.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
貝拉薩特吉 win40%2.502.3538.1%+1.9 pp
32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
西班牙中央 win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

貝拉薩特吉1.53

主隊 share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 40% · 60%

西班牙中央0.74

客隊 share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

貝拉薩特吉

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

西班牙中央

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.53
Expected goals
0.74
貝拉薩特吉西班牙中央
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01貝拉薩特吉 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02西班牙中央 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

貝拉薩特吉 vs 西班牙中央 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

貝拉薩特吉 40%, 32%,西班牙中央 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · 大2.5 40% · Current selection