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ARG Argentina - Primera C · Partido ·

Berazategui vs Central Español

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score2–1BerazateguiCentral Español
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 29% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Central Español win (22.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X77.8%1.29
Más de 40% · Menos de 60%Goals 2.5Menos de60%1.67
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.27 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Berazategui win49%2.04
Empate29%3.45
Central Español win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berazategui1.53

Local share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 40% · Menos de 60%

Central Español0.74

Visitante share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Berazategui

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Central Español

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.53
Expected goals
0.74
BerazateguiCentral Español
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berazategui signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Central Español signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Berazategui vs Central Español FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berazategui ganada 49%,Empate 29%,Central Español ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Más de 2.5 40% · Current selection Menos de