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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Spiel ·

Berazategui vs Centro Español

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg22%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score2–1BerazateguiCentro Español
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 29% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Centro Español win (22.2%)Doppelte Chance1X77.8%1.29
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Berazategui win49%2.04
Unentschieden29%3.45
Centro Español win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berazategui1.53

Heim share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Centro Español0.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Berazategui

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Centro Español

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.53
Expected goals
0.74
BerazateguiCentro Español
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berazategui signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Centro Español signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Berazategui vs Centro Español FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berazategui Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 29%,Centro Español Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter