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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Spiel ·

Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden34%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud Unida San MiguelPuerto Nuevo
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter75% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 34% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puerto Nuevo win (27.7%)Doppelte Chance1X72.3%1.38
Über 25% · Unter 75%Goals 2.5Unter75%1.33
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Juventud Unida San Miguel win38%2.63
Unentschieden34%2.94
Puerto Nuevo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.00

Heim share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 25% · Unter 75%

Puerto Nuevo0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Juventud Unida San Miguel

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Puerto Nuevo

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.00
Expected goals
0.72
Juventud Unida San MiguelPuerto Nuevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud Unida San Miguel signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Nuevo signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud Unida San Miguel Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 34%,Puerto Nuevo Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Über 2.5 25% · Current selection Unter