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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw34%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud Unida San MiguelPuerto Nuevo
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 34% / 28%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puerto Nuevo win (27.7%)Double chance1X72.3%1.38
Over 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Juventud Unida San Miguel win38%2.63
Draw34%2.94
Puerto Nuevo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.00

Home share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 25% · Under 75%

Puerto Nuevo0.72

Away share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventud Unida San Miguel

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Puerto Nuevo

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.00
Expected goals
0.72
Juventud Unida San MiguelPuerto Nuevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud Unida San Miguel signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Nuevo signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud Unida San Miguel win 38%,Draw 34%,Puerto Nuevo win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Over 2.5 25% · Current selection Under