Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 32% / 29%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Centro Espanol win (28.8%)Double chance1X71.2%1.40
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBerazategui winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Berazategui win40%2.502.3538.1%+1.9 pp
Draw32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Centro Espanol win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67.4%
Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 32.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBerazategui
WDLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchCentro Espanol
DLLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
29%7
Points from supplied form
21.53
Expected goals
0.74BerazateguiCentro Espanol
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Berazategui vs Centro Espanol FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Berazategui win 40%，Draw 32%，Centro Espanol win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。