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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラCメトロポリターナ · 試合 ·

フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル vs プエルトヌエヴォ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け34%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲルプエルトヌエヴォ
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー75% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 34% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes プエルトヌエヴォ win (27.7%)ダブルチャンス1X72.3%1.38
オーバー 25% · アンダー 75%Goals 2.5アンダー75%1.33
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
1.72 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル win38%2.63
引き分け34%2.94
プエルトヌエヴォ win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル1.00

ホーム share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 25% · アンダー 75%

プエルトヌエヴォ0.72

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

プエルトヌエヴォ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.00
Expected goals
0.72
フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲルプエルトヌエヴォ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02プエルトヌエヴォ signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル vs プエルトヌエヴォ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フヴェントゥ・ウニダ・サン・ミゲル 勝ち 38%,引き分け 34%,プエルトヌエヴォ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · オーバー 2.5 25% · Current selection アンダー