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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラCメトロポリターナ · 試合 ·

エルポルベニール vs ユパンキ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1エルポルベニールユパンキ
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー67% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 32% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ユパンキ win (30%)ダブルチャンス1X70%1.43
オーバー 33% · アンダー 67%Goals 2.5アンダー67%1.49
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.03 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
エルポルベニール win38%2.63
引き分け32%3.13
ユパンキ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エルポルベニール1.13

ホーム share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 33% · アンダー 67%

ユパンキ0.90

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エルポルベニール

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ユパンキ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.13
Expected goals
0.90
エルポルベニールユパンキ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エルポルベニール signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ユパンキ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

エルポルベニール vs ユパンキ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エルポルベニール 勝ち 38%,引き分け 32%,ユパンキ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · オーバー 2.5 33% · Current selection アンダー