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ARG Аржентина - Примера C Метрополитана · Мач ·

Ел Порвенир vs Юпанки

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен32%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ел ПорвенирЮпанки
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 32% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Юпанки win (30.1%)Двоен шанс1X69.9%1.43
Над 34% · Под 66%Goals 2.5Под66%1.52
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.05 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ел Порвенир win38%2.63
Равен32%3.13
Юпанки win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ел Порвенир1.14

Домакин share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 34% · Под 66%

Юпанки0.91

Гост share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ел Порвенир

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Юпанки

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.14
Expected goals
0.91
Ел ПорвенирЮпанки
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ел Порвенир signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Юпанки signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Ел Порвенир vs Юпанки FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ел Порвенир печеливш 38%,Равен 32%,Юпанки печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Над 2.5 34% · Current selection Под