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ARG Argentine - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1El PorvenirYupanqui
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de66% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 32% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yupanqui win (30.1%)Double chance1X69.9%1.43
Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%Goals 2.5Moins de66%1.52
Oui 41% · Non 59%Les deux équipes marquentNon59%1.69
2.05 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
El Porvenir win38%2.63
Nul32%3.13
Yupanqui win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

El Porvenir1.14

Domicile share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%

Yupanqui0.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 41% · Non 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Yupanqui

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.14
Expected goals
0.91
El PorvenirYupanqui
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01El Porvenir signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yupanqui signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

El Porvenir victoire 38%,Nul 32%,Yupanqui victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Plus de 2.5 34% · Current selection Moins de