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ARG Argentine - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 32% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (25.5%)Double chanceX274.5%1.34
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
1.97 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Argentino de Rosario win25%4.00
Nul32%3.13
Club Mercedes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.74

Domicile share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Extérieur share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.74
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario victoire 25%,Nul 32%,Club Mercedes victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de