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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Meci ·

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde26%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți43%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
26% / 32% / 43%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (25.5%)Șansă dublăX274.5%1.34
Peste 32% · Sub 68%Goals 2.5Sub68%1.47
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Argentino de Rosario win26%3.85
Egal32%3.13
Club Mercedes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino de Rosario0.75

Gazde share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 32% · Sub 68%

Club Mercedes1.23

Oaspeți share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Câștig probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.23
Argentino de RosarioClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino de Rosario signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino de Rosario vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino de Rosario câștig 26%,Egal 32%,Club Mercedes câștig 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Peste 2.5 32% · Current selection Sub