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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Kamp ·

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr30%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score1–1El PorvenirYupanqui
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 32% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yupanqui win (30.1%)Dobbeltchance1X69.9%1.43
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Begge hold scorerNej59%1.69
2.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
El Porvenir win38%2.63
Uafgjort32%3.13
Yupanqui win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

El Porvenir1.13

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Yupanqui0.90

Ude share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Yupanqui

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.13
Expected goals
0.90
El PorvenirYupanqui
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01El Porvenir signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yupanqui signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

El Porvenir vundet 38%,Uafgjort 32%,Yupanqui vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under