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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Spiel ·

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1El PorvenirYupanqui
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 32% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yupanqui win (30%)Doppelte Chance1X70%1.43
Über 33% · Unter 67%Goals 2.5Unter67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
El Porvenir win38%2.63
Unentschieden32%3.13
Yupanqui win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

El Porvenir1.13

Heim share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 33% · Unter 67%

Yupanqui0.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Yupanqui

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.13
Expected goals
0.90
El PorvenirYupanqui
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01El Porvenir signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yupanqui signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

El Porvenir Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 32%,Yupanqui Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Über 2.5 33% · Current selection Unter