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ARG Argentyna - Primera C Metropolitana · Mecz ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis34%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej85% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 34% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (26.8%)Podwójna szansa1X73.2%1.37
Powyżej 15% · Poniżej 85%Goals 2.5Poniżej85%1.18
Tak 19% · Nie 81%Obie drużyny strzeląNie81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–0
7.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win40%2.502.3538.6%+1.4 pp
Remis34%2.942.7533%+1.0 pp
JJ Urquiza win27%3.703.2028.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Gospodarze share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 15% · Poniżej 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Goście share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitTak 19% · Nie 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn wygrana 40%,Remis 34%,JJ Urquiza wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Powyżej 2.5 15% · Current selection Poniżej