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ARG Argentína - Primera C Metropolitana · Zápas ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich40%
Remíza34%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej85% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
40% / 34% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (26.8%)Dvojitá šanca1X73.2%1.37
Viac 15% · Menej 85%Goals 2.5Menej85%1.18
Áno 19% · Nie 81%Oba tímy skórujúNie81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–0
7.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win40%2.502.3538.6%+1.4 pp
Remíza34%2.942.7533%+1.0 pp
JJ Urquiza win27%3.703.2028.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Domáci share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 15% · Menej 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Hostia share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitÁno 19% · Nie 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Body7

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn výhra 40%,Remíza 34%,JJ Urquiza výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Viac 2.5 15% · Current selection Menej