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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Zápas ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích45%
Remíza37%
Výhra hostů18%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích45% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně85% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
45% / 37% / 18%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (18%)Dvojitá šance1X82%1.22
Více 15% · Méně 85%Goals 2.5Méně85%1.18
Ano 19% · Ne 81%Oba týmy skórujíNe81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–0
7.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win45%2.22
Remíza37%2.70
JJ Urquiza win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Domácí share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 15% · Méně 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Hosté share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitAno 19% · Ne 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 37%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–0 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn výhra 45%,Remíza 37%,JJ Urquiza výhra 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Více 2.5 15% · Current selection Méně