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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Partita ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio34%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto85% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 34% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (26.8%)Doppia Chance1X73.2%1.37
Sopra 15% · Sotto 85%Goals 2.5Sotto85%1.18
Sì 19% · No 81%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
7.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win40%2.502.3538.6%+1.4 pp
Pareggio34%2.942.7533%+1.0 pp
JJ Urquiza win27%3.703.2028.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Casa share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 15% · Sotto 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Trasferta share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 19% · No 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vinta 40%,Pareggio 34%,JJ Urquiza vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · Sopra 2.5 15% · Current selection Sotto