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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Maç ·

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır45%
Beraberlik37%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır45% selection probability
Projected score1–0Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt85% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
45% / 37% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (18%)Çifte Şans1X82%1.22
Üst 15% · Alt 85%Goals 2.5Alt85%1.18
Evet 19% · Hayır 81%Karşılıklı gol varHayır81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–0
7.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win45%2.22
Beraberlik37%2.70
JJ Urquiza win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.96

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 15% · Alt 85%

JJ Urquiza0.35

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitEvet 19% · Hayır 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornJJ Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 37%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs JJ Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–0 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn kazanç 45%,Beraberlik 37%,JJ Urquiza kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · 2.5 Üst 15% · Current selection Alt