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ARG Аргентина - Примера С Метрополитана · Матч ·

Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн vs ЖЖ Уркуиза

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–01.31 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–0Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро КорнЖЖ Уркуиза
Expected goals1.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше85% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет81% for the selected side
Expected corners7.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 34% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ЖЖ Уркуиза win (26.8%)Двойной шанс1X73.2%1.37
Больше 15% · Меньше 85%Goals 2.5Меньше85%1.18
Да 19% · Нет 81%Обе забьютНет81%1.23
1.31 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–0
7.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapЭстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн win40%2.502.3538.6%+1.4 pp
Ничья34%2.942.7533%+1.0 pp
ЖЖ Уркуиза win27%3.703.2028.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн0.96

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.3%

Total expected goals1.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 15% · Меньше 85%

ЖЖ Уркуиза0.35

Гости share of expected goals 26.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 19% · Нет 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ЖЖ Уркуиза

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.96
Expected goals
0.35
Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро КорнЖЖ Уркуиза
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЖЖ Уркуиза signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн vs ЖЖ Уркуиза FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–0 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эстрелла дель Сур Алехандро Корн выигрыш 40%,Ничья 34%,ЖЖ Уркуиза выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.31 · ТБ 2.5 15% · Current selection Меньше