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ARG 阿根廷乙級聯賽 · Final ·

CD莫龍 vs 阿爾馬格羅

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score2–0預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝56%
28%
客勝16%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD莫龍阿爾馬格羅
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
56% / 28% / 16%比賽結果主勝56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 阿爾馬格羅 win (15.9%)雙重機會1X84.1%1.19
大 37% · 小 63%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 33% · 否 67%雙方進球67%1.49
2.19 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
CD莫龍 win56%1.79
28%3.57
阿爾馬格羅 win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD莫龍1.68

主隊 share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 37% · 63%

阿爾馬格羅0.51

客隊 share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 33% · 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

CD莫龍

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿爾馬格羅

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
贏 probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD莫龍阿爾馬格羅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD莫龍 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿爾馬格羅 signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD莫龍 vs 阿爾馬格羅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD莫龍 56%, 28%,阿爾馬格羅 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 37% · Current selection