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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CD Moron vs Almagro

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD MoronAlmagro
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 28% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Podwójna szansa1X84.1%1.19
Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%Goals 2.5Poniżej63%1.59
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
CD Moron win56%1.79
Remis28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.68

Gospodarze share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%

Almagro0.51

Goście share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

CD Moron

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Almagro

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD MoronAlmagro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almagro signalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Almagro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron wygrana 56%,Remis 28%,Almagro wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Powyżej 2.5 37% · Current selection Poniżej