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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

КД Морон vs Алмагро

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен28%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1КД МоронАлмагро
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 28% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алмагро win (15.9%)Двоен шанс1X84.1%1.19
Над 37% · Под 63%Goals 2.5Под63%1.59
Да 33% · Не 67%И двата отбора да отбележатНе67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
КД Морон win56%1.79
Равен28%3.57
Алмагро win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Морон1.68

Домакин share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 37% · Под 63%

Алмагро0.51

Гост share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Не 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

КД Морон

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Алмагро

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
КД МоронАлмагро
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Морон signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алмагро signalДомакин unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

КД Морон vs Алмагро FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Морон печеливш 56%,Равен 28%,Алмагро печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Над 2.5 37% · Current selection Под