Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 28% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Dubbele Kans1X84.1%1.19
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 33% · Nee 67%Beide teams scorenNee67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
CD Moron win56%1.79
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 76.7%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%
Uit share of expected goals 23.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nee 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCD Moron
WLWDL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAlmagro
DLDWL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
51.68
Expected goals
0.51CD MoronAlmagro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
CD Moron vs Almagro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Moron gewonnen 56%，Gelijkspel 28%，Almagro gewonnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder。