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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colon vs Patronato Parana

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst16%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColonPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 29% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (15.7%)Dubbele Kans1X84.3%1.19
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 28% · Nee 72%Beide teams scorenNee72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColon winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato Parana win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon1.16

Thuis share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Patronato Parana0.52

Uit share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nee 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Colon

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColonPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colon vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 29%,Patronato Parana gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder