Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 29% / 16%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColon winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Draw29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato Parana win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69%
Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%
Away share of expected goals 31%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchColon
WDLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchPatronato Parana
DDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
31.16
Expected goals
0.52ColonPatronato Parana
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Colon vs Patronato Parana FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Colon win 55%，Draw 29%，Patronato Parana win 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.68 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under。