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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colón vs Patronato Parana

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score3–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur16%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColónPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 29% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%Goals 2.5Moins de76%1.32
Oui 28% · Non 72%Les deux équipes marquentNon72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColón winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colón win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Nul29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato Parana win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colón1.16

Domicile share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%

Patronato Parana0.52

Extérieur share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 28% · Non 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Colón

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColónPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colón signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colón vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colón victoire 55%,Nul 29%,Patronato Parana victoire 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Plus de 2.5 24% · Current selection Moins de