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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colón vs Patronato de Paraná

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante16%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColónPatronato de Paraná
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 29% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato de Paraná win (15.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.3%1.19
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 28% · No 72%Ambos equipos marcanNo72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColón winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colón win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Empate29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato de Paraná win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colón1.16

Local share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Patronato de Paraná0.52

Visitante share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Colón

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Patronato de Paraná

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColónPatronato de Paraná
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colón signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato de Paraná signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colón vs Patronato de Paraná FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colón ganada 55%,Empate 29%,Patronato de Paraná ganada 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de