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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colón vs Patronato Parana

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg16%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColónPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter76% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 29% / 16%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (15.7%)Doppelte Chance1X84.3%1.19
Über 24% · Unter 76%Goals 2.5Unter76%1.32
Ja 28% · Nein 72%Beide Teams treffenNein72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColón winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colón win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato Parana win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colón1.16

Heim share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 24% · Unter 76%

Patronato Parana0.52

Auswärts share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nein 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Colón

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColónPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colón signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colón vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colón Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 29%,Patronato Parana Gewinn 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Über 2.5 24% · Current selection Unter