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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colon vs Patronato Parana

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–0Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr16%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColonPatronato Parana
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 29% / 16%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato Parana win (15.7%)Dobbeltchance1X84.3%1.19
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 28% · Nej 72%Begge hold scorerNej72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColon winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Uafgjort29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato Parana win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon1.16

Hjemme share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

Patronato Parana0.52

Ude share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nej 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Colon

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Patronato Parana

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColonPatronato Parana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato Parana signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colon vs Patronato Parana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon vundet 55%,Uafgjort 29%,Patronato Parana vundet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under