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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · Final ·

コロン vs パトロナート・デ・パラナ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score1–1コロンパトロナート・デ・パラナ
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー76% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 29% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes パトロナート・デ・パラナ win (15.7%)ダブルチャンス1X84.3%1.19
オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%Goals 2.5アンダー76%1.32
はい 28% · いいえ 72%両チーム得点いいえ72%1.39
1.68 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapコロン winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
コロン win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
パトロナート・デ・パラナ win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

コロン1.16

ホーム share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%

パトロナート・デ・パラナ0.52

アウェイ share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 28% · いいえ 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

コロン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

パトロナート・デ・パラナ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
コロンパトロナート・デ・パラナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01コロン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02パトロナート・デ・パラナ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

コロン vs パトロナート・デ・パラナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

コロン 勝ち 55%,引き分け 29%,パトロナート・デ・パラナ 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · オーバー 2.5 24% · Current selection アンダー