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ARG アルゼンチン ナシオナルB · Final ·

CAサンミゲル vs CAコレギアーレス

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け35%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CAサンミゲルCAコレギアーレス
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー79% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 35% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CAコレギアーレス win (26.4%)ダブルチャンス1X73.6%1.36
オーバー 21% · アンダー 79%Goals 2.5アンダー79%1.27
はい 30% · いいえ 70%両チーム得点いいえ70%1.43
1.57 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CAサンミゲル win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
引き分け35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
CAコレギアーレス win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CAサンミゲル0.81

ホーム share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 21% · アンダー 79%

CAコレギアーレス0.76

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 30% · いいえ 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CAサンミゲル

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CAコレギアーレス

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
CAサンミゲルCAコレギアーレス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CAサンミゲル signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CAコレギアーレス signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

CAサンミゲル vs CAコレギアーレス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CAサンミゲル 勝ち 39%,引き分け 35%,CAコレギアーレス 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · オーバー 2.5 21% · Current selection アンダー