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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul35%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de79% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 35% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Colegiales win (26.4%)Double chance1X73.6%1.36
Plus de 21% · Moins de 79%Goals 2.5Moins de79%1.27
Oui 30% · Non 70%Les deux équipes marquentNon70%1.43
1.57 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA San Miguel win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
Nul35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
CA Colegiales win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA San Miguel0.81

Domicile share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 21% · Moins de 79%

CA Colegiales0.76

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 30% · Non 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CA San Miguel

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA San Miguel signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Colegiales signalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA San Miguel victoire 39%,Nul 35%,CA Colegiales victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Plus de 2.5 21% · Current selection Moins de