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ARG 阿根廷乙級聯賽 · Final ·

聖米格爾 vs 科勒加勒斯

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score2–0預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝39%
35%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝39% selection probability
Projected score1–1聖米格爾科勒加勒斯
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.579% for the selected side
雙方進球70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
39% / 35% / 26%比賽結果主勝39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 科勒加勒斯 win (26.4%)雙重機會1X73.6%1.36
大 21% · 小 79%Goals 2.579%1.27
是 30% · 否 70%雙方進球70%1.43
1.57 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
聖米格爾 win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
科勒加勒斯 win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

聖米格爾0.81

主隊 share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 21% · 79%

科勒加勒斯0.76

客隊 share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 30% · 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

聖米格爾

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

科勒加勒斯

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
聖米格爾科勒加勒斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01聖米格爾 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02科勒加勒斯 signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

聖米格爾 vs 科勒加勒斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

聖米格爾 39%, 35%,科勒加勒斯 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · 大2.5 21% · Current selection