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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate35%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de79% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 35% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Colegiales win (26.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.6%1.36
Más de 21% · Menos de 79%Goals 2.5Menos de79%1.27
Sí 30% · No 70%Ambos equipos marcanNo70%1.43
1.57 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA San Miguel win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
Empate35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
CA Colegiales win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA San Miguel0.81

Local share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 21% · Menos de 79%

CA Colegiales0.76

Visitante share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CA San Miguel

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA San Miguel signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Colegiales signalLocal failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA San Miguel ganada 39%,Empate 35%,CA Colegiales ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Más de 2.5 21% · Current selection Menos de