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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy39%
Remis35%
Wygrana gości26%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej79% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
39% / 35% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Colegiales win (26.4%)Podwójna szansa1X73.6%1.36
Powyżej 21% · Poniżej 79%Goals 2.5Poniżej79%1.27
Tak 30% · Nie 70%Obie drużyny strzeląNie70%1.43
1.57 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA San Miguel win39%2.562.4039.1%-0.1 pp
Remis35%2.862.7034.8%+0.2 pp
CA Colegiales win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA San Miguel0.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 21% · Poniżej 79%

CA Colegiales0.76

Goście share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 30% · Nie 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

CA San Miguel

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.76
CA San MiguelCA Colegiales
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA San Miguel signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Colegiales signalGospodarze failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA San Miguel wygrana 39%,Remis 35%,CA Colegiales wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Powyżej 2.5 21% · Current selection Poniżej