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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Colón vs Patronato

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–0Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante16%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColónPatronato
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo76% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 29% / 16%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Patronato win (15.7%)Dupla Chance1X84.3%1.19
Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%Goals 2.5Abaixo76%1.32
Sim 28% · Não 72%Ambas as equipes marcamNão72%1.39
1.68 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapColón winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colón win55%1.821.7055.4%-0.4 pp
Empate29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Patronato win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colón1.16

Mandante share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%

Patronato0.52

Visitante share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 28% · Não 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Colón

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Patronato

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
0.52
ColónPatronato
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colón signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Patronato signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colón vs Patronato FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colón ganhou 55%,Empate 29%,Patronato ganhou 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Acima 2.5 24% · Current selection Abaixo