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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CD Morón vs Almagro

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score2–0Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante16%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD MorónAlmagro
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 28% / 16%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Dupla Chance1X84.1%1.19
Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%Goals 2.5Abaixo63%1.59
Sim 33% · Não 67%Ambas as equipes marcamNão67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
CD Morón win56%1.79
Empate28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Morón1.68

Mandante share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%

Almagro0.51

Visitante share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 33% · Não 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CD Morón

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Almagro

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD MorónAlmagro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Morón signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almagro signalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Morón vs Almagro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Morón ganhou 56%,Empate 28%,Almagro ganhou 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Acima 2.5 37% · Current selection Abaixo