Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 28% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Dubbelchans1X84.1%1.19
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Båda lagen gör målNej67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
CD Moron win56%1.79
Oavgjort28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hemma share of expected goals 76.7%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%
Borta share of expected goals 23.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hemma-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCD Moron
WLWDL
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7
SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5
Borta-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAlmagro
DLDWL
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5
SignalHemma unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
51.68
Expected goals
0.51CD MoronAlmagro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
CD Moron vs Almagro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Moron vunnen 56%，Oavgjort 28%，Almagro vunnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。