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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CD Μόρον vs Αλμάγκρο

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–0Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου56%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου16%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD ΜόρονΑλμάγκρο
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
56% / 28% / 16%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλμάγκρο win (15.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X84.1%1.19
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
CD Μόρον win56%1.79
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Αλμάγκρο win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Μόρον1.68

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Αλμάγκρο0.51

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

CD Μόρον

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλμάγκρο

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD ΜόρονΑλμάγκρο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Μόρον signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλμάγκρο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Μόρον vs Αλμάγκρο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Μόρον νίκη 56%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Αλμάγκρο νίκη 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω