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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

CD Moron vs Almagro

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score2–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem56%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem16%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD MoronAlmagro
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt63% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
56% / 28% / 16%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (15.9%)Dupla esély1X84.1%1.19
Felett 37% · Alatt 63%Goals 2.5Alatt63%1.59
Igen 33% · Nem 67%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67%1.49
2.19 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
CD Moron win56%1.79
Döntetlen28%3.57
Almagro win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Moron1.68

Hazai share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 37% · Alatt 63%

Almagro0.51

Vendég share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 33% · Nem 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

CD Moron

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Almagro

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Nyert probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.51
CD MoronAlmagro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Moron signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almagro signalHazai unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Moron vs Almagro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Moron nyer 56%,Döntetlen 28%,Almagro nyer 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 2.5 felett 37% · Current selection Alatt