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ENG 英格蘭全國聯賽 南部 · Round 1 ·

托奇 vs 荷善

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝68%
19%
客勝12%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝68% selection probability
Projected score2–1托奇荷善
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.552% for the selected side
雙方進球51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
68% / 19% / 12%比賽結果主勝68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 荷善 win (12.5%)雙勝彩1X87.5%1.14
大 52% · 小 48%Goals 2.552%1.92
是 51% · 否 49%雙方進球51%1.96
2.74 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap托奇 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
托奇 win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
荷善 win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

托奇1.80

主隊 share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 52% · 48%

荷善0.94

客隊 share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

托奇

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

荷善

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
贏 probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
托奇荷善
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01托奇 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02荷善 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

托奇 vs 荷善 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

托奇 68%, 19%,荷善 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · 大2.5 52% · Current selection