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ENG England National League South · Round 1 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır68%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır12%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır68% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
68% / 19% / 12%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (12.5%)Çifte Şans1X87.5%1.14
Üst 52% · Alt 48%Goals 2.5Üst52%1.92
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTorquay winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Beraberlik19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Horsham win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 52% · Alt 48%

Horsham0.94

Deplasman share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay kazanç 68%,Beraberlik 19%,Horsham kazanç 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · 2.5 Üst 52% · Current selection Üst